Thailand’s baht currency is likely to weaken on more foreign selling, a lower current account surplus and reduced dollar-related gold trading flows, a deputy governor of its central bank said on Wednesday.
Market sentiment has changed and foreign investors now think the baht, Asia’s top-performing currency this year, may not rise much further because its strength is already much beyond the country’s fundamentals, Mathee Supapongse told reporters.
“That makes the baht not a safe haven as it was before,” he said. “It is moving more on a downward trend after a one-way rise earlier.”
The central bank’s two interest rate cuts this year have also eased upward pressure on the baht by making the Thai yield curve the lowest in Southeast Asia and less attractive, Mathee said.
Still, the baht has appreciated 7.5% against the U.S. dollar so far this year, hurting Thai exports, a key growth driver.
The gold trade had helped push the Thai currency to a six-year-high as traders who had exported gold repatriate their dollars back to exchange the proceeds for baht.
The Bank of Thailand remains concerned about the strength of the baht and is ready to take action against any rapid gains, either through intervention or additional steps, Mathee said.
On Wednesday, the central bank, the Federation of Thai Industries and commercial banks discussed how to handle the baht’s strength, he said, without giving further details.