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Premier League Review Part One: Comments – Stats – Predictions

Barclays Premier League Weekend Review Part One: Manager Comments, Team News, Stats, and Predictions.

By Marc Gingell

29th March 2019

Part One Fixtures

30.03. 12:30 Craven Cottage Fulham v Man City REF: K Friend
30.03. 15:00 Amex Stadium Brighton v Southampton REF: M Oliver
30.03. 15:00 Turf Moor Burnley v Wolves REF: C Kavanagh

Fulham v Manchester City

Fulham, playing for pride more than anything else, could push City in this one as they did when Chelsea visited Craven Cottage recently. City might be playing with a patched up back line and that’s something Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrović might try and muscle in on.

Pattaya One: Aleksandar Mitrović will be looking to ruffle a few wounded City feathers.

Fulham Team News

  • Unknown Return Date: Marcus Bettinelli Knee injury.
  • Expected Back 06 Apr. Alfie Mawson Lack of match fitness.

Manchester City Team News

  • Unknown Return Date: Claudio Bravo Achilles injury
  • 75% Chance of Playing: John Stones Groin Injury. Nicolás Otamendi Ankle injury. Benjamin Mendy Knee injury. Vincent Kompany Muscle injury. Fabian Delph Knock .Fernandinho Muscle injury. Kevin De Bruyne Hamstring injury.
Pattaya One: Sergio Agüero. Looking for more Golden Boot goals. As might Raheem Sterling.

Opta Stats

  • Fulham are winless in 13 games against Manchester City in all competitions (W0 D3 L10) and have lost the last seven consecutively.
  • Man City have won their last six Premier League meetings with Fulham, scoring 19 goals and conceding just three since drawing 2-2 – after being 2-0 ahead – in September 2011.
  • Fulham have lost seven consecutive top-flight matches against an opponent on one previous occasion, losing eight in a row against Man Utd between 2005 and 2009.
  • Man City haven’t failed to score against Fulham in all competitions since a 0-0 draw in March 2004, netting 51 goals in their 23 games since.
  • After a run of six straight Premier League wins in London, Man City lost their last such game against Chelsea in December. They’ve not lost consecutive games in the capital since December 2015 (vs Spurs and Arsenal).
  • Fulham have lost 25 of their last 26 Premier League matches against the ‘big six’, drawing the other 2-2 at Old Trafford against Manchester United in February 2014.
  • Fulham have conceded at least twice in each of their last 11 Premier League games, a record in the competition. The last top-flight side to concede more than once in more consecutive games were Newcastle between May-October 1977 (14 games).
  • Man City’s Sergio Aguero has been involved in six goals in his last four starts against Fulham in the Premier League (4 goals, 2 assists), netting three times at Craven Cottage.
  • Since his debut for Fulham in January, Ryan Babel has been involved in more Premier League goals than any other Cottagers player (2 goals, 2 assists).
  • Since the start of the 2011-12 season, Man City striker Sergio Aguero has been involved in more Premier League goals against newly-promoted teams than any other player (34 – 28 goals, 6 assists).

Prediction

City, despite their injury concerns, should just get the better of this one.

Fulham 1 – 2 Manchester City

 

Brighton v Southampton

A real basement battle and when these two team met at St. Mary’s Southampton were 2-0 up after 65 minutes but, as they have done so many times they, threw three points away when Glenn Murray equalised with a 90+ 1 minute penalty. Brighton need to focus and forget about the FA Cup. If they lose, and Burnley and Cardiff win, they could be in big trouble.

Brighton Team News

  • Expected Back 13 Apr. Pascal Groß Hamstring injury.
  • 75% Chance of Playing: Florin Andone Groin injury.
Pattaya One: Glenn Murray slots home the late penalty at St. Mary’s.

Southampton Team News

  • Unknown Return Date: Michael Obafemi Hamstring injury.
  • 50% Chance of Playing: Shane Long Groin injury.
  • 75% Chance of Playing: Mario Lemina Abdominal injury.
Pattaya One: Danny Ings will hope to return with a goal.

Opta Stats

  • Brighton have won just four of their last 30 matches against Southampton in all competitions (D12 L14).
  • All three Premier League meetings between Brighton and Southampton have ended as a draw. Only three previous Premier League fixtures have ended as a draw in their first four meetings – Arsenal vs QPR, Southampton vs Stoke City and Bournemouth vs Watford.
  • Brighton have lost once at home against Southampton this season, losing 0-1 in the EFL Cup; only Derby County in 2013-14 have won twice away at the Amex in a single season against the Seagulls.
  • Brighton have won their last two Premier League games, more than they had in their previous 12 combined (W1 D3 L8).
  • Southampton have lost their last two Premier League away games.
  • Southampton have scored a league-high ratio 32% of their Premier League goals from outside the box so far this season (11/34).
  • Southampton have lost more points from leading positions in the Premier League than any other side this season (20), including dropping five points over their last three away games in the competition.
  • Southampton striker Charlie Austin has scored more goals in all competitions against Brighton (7) than he has against any other side since his debut in the Football League in October 2009.
  • After scoring in six of his first seven league appearances at home this season, Brighton’s Glenn Murray has failed to score in his last seven at home in the Premier League. His last goal at the Amex Stadium was in December vs Crystal Palace.
  • James Ward-Prowse has scored in his last three Premier League games for Southampton – the last player to score in four in a row for Saints was Jay Rodriguez in March 2014.

Prediction

For Southampton the return of Danny Ings could be so important as they tried to build on their 2-1 home win against Spurs.

Brighton 0 – 2 Southampton

Burnley v Wolves

Burnley, who after a good point at Manchester United and their home win against Spurs, seemed to be moving in the right direction. But four defeats in a row has left them right back in the relegation dog fight. Wolves are on a roll and have done well against the Premier League big boys. Huddersfield did beat them twice so they do need to guard against complacency.

Burnley Team News

  • Retired From Professional Football 22 Mar: Jonathan Walters.
  • Unknown Return Date: Aaron Lennon Knee injury. Steven Defour Calf injury.
Pattaya One: Tom Heaton, back in the England, will be looking for a clean sheet in this game.

Wolves Team News

  • Suspended until 02 Apr. Ryan Bennett.
Pattaya One: Rúben Neves could be the match winner.

Opta Stats

  • Burnley are winless in their last nine top-flight home matches against Wolves (W0 D4 L5), with the only previous Premier League meeting at Turf Moor ending 2-1 to Wolves in March 2010.
  • Wolves have a 100% win record against Burnley in the Premier League, winning all three matches against the Clarets (two in 2009-10 and this season’s reverse fixture).
  • Wolves have won their last seven top-flight matches against Burnley – they’ve only had a longer winning run in the top-flight against Birmingham (10 between 1957-1962).
  • Burnley have conceded 10 goals in the 90th minute of their Premier League games this season – no team has ever conceded more in a single campaign (also 10 for Cardiff City in 2013-14 and Hull City in 2016-17, both of whom were relegated).
  • Wolves have lost only one of their last eight Premier League games (W4 D3), against Huddersfield in February.
  • After keeping a clean sheet in two of their first four away league games this season, Wolves have conceded in each of their last 11 on the road.
  • Burnley lost 1-2 to Leicester City in their last match despite the Foxes receiving a red card; the Clarets are one of four teams in Premier League history to lose more games than they’ve won when an opponent has received a red card (W5 D3 L7), along with Huddersfield, QPR and Sheffield United.
  • Raúl Jiménez has scored six of Wolves’ last 10 Premier League goals, with three of those strikes being assisted by Diogo Jota.
  • Burnley’s Dwight McNeil has been directly involved in six Premier League goals this season (2 goals, 4 assists). Only Ryan Sessegnon (7) has been involved in more as a teenager in the competition this term.
  • Raúl Jiménez has had a hand in 18 goals in 30 Premier League games for Wolves (12 goals, 6 assists); the last player to reach 20 goal involvements for a newly-promoted team in a season was Troy Deeney in 2015-16 for Watford (13 goals, 7 assists).

Prediction

This is a must win game for Burnley and they will need to same commitment they showed against Spurs to get anything. For Wolves Rúben Neves could be the match winner.

Burnley 0 – 1 Wolves

 

 

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