Mass vaccinations appear to be the only way forward for Thailand’s battered tourist industry, which before the pandemic accounted for a fifth of Southeast Asia’s second largest economy – likely more, if businesses in the informal sector such as tuk-tuks and food stalls are included.
But the combination of ongoing travel restrictions, government incompetence and a slow vaccine roll-out have piled bad news upon bad news for Thailand’s tourist hotspots.
From Bangkok to Chiang Mai, Hua Hin to Pattaya, bars and restaurants have been closed and visitors have stayed away as near-lockdown conditions extend into an eighth week.
“Around 80 per cent of tourist businesses have gone in Pattaya,” said Chairat, who is also a regional representative for the Thai Hotels Association.
It’s a statistic that can be seen all too clearly along the kilometres of restaurants, bars, massage parlours and holiday houses that once seethed with visitors and now bear “For Sale” signs.
In a desperate bid to mount a comeback, Pattaya has launched a campaign to vaccinate much of its population, which in the coming months would allow it to reopen to foreign tourists without imposing quarantine restrictions.
“If we can inoculate 15,000 people a day we are on track to open up the city by the fourth quarter of this year,” mayor Sontaya Kunplome told reporters earlier this week.
But Pattaya’s prospects are more complicated, even if it can get its hands on a sufficient supply of vaccines.
Tourists who arrive will have to be monitored across the city’s long stretch of seaboard to make sure they are not importing new strains of Covid-19.
On top of this, Chinese tourists are unlikely to return in high volumes, as the central government is taking no chances and is maintaining a strict three-week quarantine requirement for returning travellers
This means Pattaya – which in 2019 welcomed 2.7 million Chinese visitors, many on package tours – must rely on Europeans, Americans and Russians who have been vaccinated and are desperate to travel after prolonged periods at home.
The reopening may also mean pivoting away from Pattaya’s reputation for nightlife, going from go-go bars and sex work to something more upmarket and family friendly
“The government wants high spenders who are looking for quality tourism.
We need to build a new ecosystem for that,” said Chairat from the Thai Hotels Association, adding that this would involve upgrades to infrastructure and transport as well as higher-end businesses from wellness to the arts.
But before vaccinated tourists can head to Thailand for a holiday, the kingdom has to inoculate its own people.
The programme has been a slow and convoluted process, with critics accusing the government of bungling vaccine procurement and roll-out while the virus spreads.
Pattaya, meanwhile, is racing to ensure its allocation of vaccines is given to locals in tourist-facing areas.
Frontline workers are first in line, from the orange-vested “motorsai” taxi drivers who cluster on most street corners to workers in spas and hotels.
“Tourists will feel a lot better if we are all vaccinated when they arrive,” said motorsai driver Duangporn Klaisombon, as she prepared to get her first jab of the Chinese-made Sinovac vaccine.
But there are also those who fear this will be another false dawn.
Tour operator Chawalit Daomukda used to focus on independently travelling Chinese visitors, but even if vaccines are rushed out internationally, he fears Pattaya’s hard-hit businesses will have to survive more lean months before travellers return.
That leaves him dependent on Thai tourists, who have been kept at home by the latest outbreak.
“I have virtually no income. The bank is letting us defer our payments, but I’m not sure for how much longer,” Chawalit said.
“By the end of the year, if it stays like this, I’ll need to close my restaurant and sell my boats. It’s so grim.” – SCMP